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Saturday, July 09, 2022

THE GREAT SILVER HUNT

I think billionaire Nelson Bunker Hunt (above) would prefer to be remembered as a man who did not smoke, drink or gamble, even though he owned, bred and raced a thousand thoroughbred horses. He was the son of a flagrant womanizer, who had openly produced two completely separate families, and a third in secret - fifteen children in total by three wives, In response to his father's sins, Nelson was a major financial supporter of Fundamentalist Christian political groups.

Nelson was friends with and a financial supporter of white supremacists Senators Jesse Helms, of North Carolina and Strom Thurmond, of South Carolina. He was also a major financial supporter of the right wing John Birch Society.  And he was famous for searching his couch cushions looking to recover lost change, his own and visitors.

Said a family member; “Sometimes he’s brilliant. The rest of the time you wonder whether he’s really there with you or not.” Said a business partner; “He doesn’t just want some of it. He wants it all.”

Said his father, legendary oil man and bigamist Haroldson Lafayette Hunt Jr. (above); “I could find more oil with a road map, than Nelson could with a platoon of fancy geologists”. Said Nelson himself; “Worrying is for people with strong intellect or weak character.”

But maybe the key to his personality was that Nelson Baker Hunt was born a second son. Nelson’s eldest brother - his father’s “run away favorite” - Hassie Hunt (above, left), was an oil wildcatter and “a millionaire in his own right by the age of 21.” And then this older, smarter brother developed schizophrenia and his desperate father decided to treat him with a lobotomy. Since that "Hail Mary Pass" of treatment, Hassie spent the rest of his life under 24 hour nursing care.

Thus Nelson (above) became the replacement son. But he was never his father’s favorite. And that may explain why one dark night in 1974 Nelson and a staff descended upon New York City in three charted 707 jets,. When the jets took off again, they flew 40 million ounces of silver to Nelson's leased vaults in Switzerland.

Now, silver is a commodity, like wheat or oil or steel. You can buy a commodity, and you can even sign a contract pledging to buy it at a set price some time in the future. These futures are a bet as to what the price of that commodity will be. The vast majority of futures traders never intend upon taking delivery of the actual commodity. They merely bet on the market, providing producers and buyers a hedge against price fluctuations of the actual commodity. People who buy gold on TV ought to remember that.

In most cases, these bets stabilize the market, which is good for everybody. And to encourage trading in futures, buyers have to put down only a small percentage of the total price, called a “margin”. But Nelson was willing to suffer the expense of transportation, storage and insurance, by actually taking delivery on his silver, because he believed in a doomsday fundamentalist theology, that sooner or later the world’s financial markets were going to collapse. Paper money would become worthless. And if all that happened, a commodity like silver would still have intrinsic value.  Not like, food, you know. Just intrinsic, some how. 

In 1974 the world wide production of new silver was 245 million ounces, while annual consumption was 450 million ounces. The imbalance (67%) was made up through recovery of “scrap silver”, everything from recycling industrial applications to melting down family heirlooms.

But that imbalance also meant the control of a tiny percentage of the world’s silver could swing the price. This meant that every ounce of silver that Nelson bought and now stored in his Swiss vaults was another ounce removed from the market. And that drove the price of the remaining silver up. As the price went up, the silver in Nelson’s vaults increased in value.  Thus, on paper, he was getting richer by the day.

Nelson Bunker Hunt (above) cashed in on that increase by using it as collateral for loans, which he used to buy more silver and silver futures. Which took even more silver off the market. Which made Hunt's silver even more valuable. He was gambling that the price would always go up, and he seemed to have enough control of the game, called leverage, to insure that it did.

The price rose from $6.22 per ounce in November of 1971 to $11.00 per ounce by the end of 1979. Nelson now controlled 1/3 of all the silver in the world not sitting in various government vaults.

But Nelson’s manipulations had not gone unnoticed. Tiffany and Company made money selling silver art (above) to consumers. They took out a full page ad in the New York Times naming Nelson, and stating, “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billions, of dollars worth of silver and thus drive the price up so high that others must pay artificially high prices for articles made of silver.”  What the retailer meant, of course, was Tiffany was having to pay more.

By the end of December 1979 the price of silver had risen to over $50 an ounce. Five years after that first late night silver flight, Nelson (above, right) and his younger brother (above, left) had earned between two and four billion dollars in paper profit from the (by then) 100 million ounces of silver they had in their Swiss vaults, And they had future contracts to buy much more at even higher prices.

But while Nelson had been buying silver futures “long”, betting that the price would go up, he was also squeezing the manufacturers - like Tiffany's - who needed silver today. They would have to pass their price increases to the millions of customers who used their products...
....such the silver used in the millions of catalytic converters required to reduce air pollution from all automobiles by the new Environmental Protection Agency .  Compared to the universal health benefits of cleaner air, the only  beneficiaries of Nelson Baker Hunt's silver hoarding scheme were the Hunt family and friends. In addition, unchecked, Nelson's speculations held the potential to bring about at least the economic doomsday part of the evangelical vision.

On 7 January, 1980, the five year old United States Commodity Trading Commission, which had oversight of all futures markets, issued “Silver Rule 7” which increased the margin required for silver futures. Just four days later the price of silver had fallen back to $25 an ounce.

As the value of Nelson’s collateral began to plummet, the brokerage houses and banks which had made him loans to buy silver futures, now issued a $100 million "margin call" on those loans. In effect, Nelson would either have to cough up that $100 million, or fulfill the contracts, and take delivery on and pay for $1.7 billion in additional silver he did not already own.

Early on the morning of Thursday 26 March, 1980, before the commodity markets opened, Nelson’s younger brother and partner, Herbert Hunt (above), placed a telephone call to the chairman of the Futures Commodity Trading Commission and asked him not to open the silver market. The reason given for that extraordinary request was that the Hunt brothers would not be meeting their margin calls that morning – “would not”, Hunt had said, not “could not.”

As John Bloom noted in an article he wrote for the magazine “Texas Monthly” “Here was one of the leading spokesman for unbridled free enterprise in America, asking a federal regulator to close a market. If the federal government would not do that, then he simply wouldn’t pay up.”

That day, the silver markets did open. And they immediately collapsed. The price of silver futures fell from $25 an ounce to $10.20 an ounce. The day passed into history as “Silver Thursday”.

As the Federal government attempted a postmortem, they discovered that Nelson Hunt had assets of $1.5 billion, and now owed $2.43 billion. In short he was bankrupt. In addition he owned 6.5% of one of the brokerage houses which had loaned him money on the Silver Futures, a fact never revealed to the Security Exchanges Commission, which was supposed to regulate those houses. That was illegal.

The feds also discovered that Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker (above) had met with Nelson several times in an attempt to find funding to save him from bankruptcy., and allow him to continue to unbalance the silver market.

As Time Magazine noted, Volcker’s “continual monitoring of the situation was interpreted by bankers to mean that the Federal Reserve…favored some kind of bailout to keep the Hunts from going under…(which) showed that when big speculators lose millions, “telephone calls come to Paul Volcker for a quick fix.” Those banks put together a one billion dollar line of credit to save, not the Hunt brothers, but the brokerage house he had defaulted. Yes, it has all happened before. Several times.

The aftermath to Bunker Hunt’s silver manipulation is also informative. The banks went after the Hunt’s fortune, seeking return of another billion dollars lost in their game. Like all good defendants, Nelson countersued, accusing the banks of lending him money which they knew he couldn’t possibly pay back. It was an absurd argument, but it allowed Hunt’s fifteen lawyers to negotiate a reduction of the repayment. Yes, the rich really do live in a different world than average people.

In 1998 a federal jury found Herbert Hunt (above, left), Lamar Hunt (above, center) and Nelson Baker Hunt (above, right) guilty of fraud and conspiracy to monopolize the world's silver market. Nelson was banned for life from ever trading in futures again. And finally Nelson Bunker Hunt was personally forced into Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Nelson was certainly not reduced to poverty. The extended family remains wealthy and politically well connected. A reporter for the Dallas Morning News found in March of 2009 the 83 year old living “in relative modesty in a North Dallas house with his wife of 57 years”. Nelson insisted he had no regrets.

In better times, Nelson Baker Hunt said, “People who know how much they're worth, aren't usually worth that much.” Stephen Susman, one of Nelson’s lawyers, said, “These people are gamblers. If you’re a gambler, you take your shot.” Except, of course, when these rich folks win their gambles, it's their money. When they lose, it's ours.
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Friday, July 08, 2022

ADDICTED TO STUPIDITY

 

"God... a being whose only definition is that he is beyond man's power to conceive."
Ayn Rand
I think, if you look it up, Sir Francis Bacon is usually credited with the saying, “money is a good servant but a bad master”.  Actually, it was an old French proverb, far older even than the Elizabethan politician and writer, and Sir Francis merely translated it – in French, “L’argent est un bon serviteur, mais un méchant maître.” His own original observation (in English) about money said the same thing, but was as prosaic as fertilizer. “Money is like muck,” Sir Francis said, “not good except it be spread.”
"The alleged short-cut to knowledge, which is faith, is only a short-circuit destroying the mind."
Ayn Rand
You see, Sir Francis believed in the biblical warning that “The love of money is the root of all evil” (Timothy 6:10).  You buy a loaf of bread and you employ the baker and the driver who delivers it, and the check-out clerk, the farmer who grows the grain...etc. 
Economists call this the “velocity of money multiplier effect”, or the VMME, and most economists multiply each dollar spent on bread by six. This is the material logic which – in addition to Judeo-Christian and Islamic and Hindu and Confuscusian morality - justifies food stamps and unemployment insurance.  And yet, today's devotees of Ayan Rand, meaning most Republican politicians, do not believe in the VMME. They believe wealthy Americans should act only out of self interest while the working poor, once known as the middle class, are sacrificed on the alter of more wealth for the wealthy. Heads the bankers win, tails, anybody who borrows from a banker, looses.  No wonder then that these days, every corporation wants to be a bank,  
"We will rebuild America’s system on the moral premise...that man is an end in himself."
Ayan Rand Atlas Shrugged
According to Wikipedia, “A bank connects customers that have capital deficits to customers with capital surpluses.” But in the post “Citizens Untied” world, where a Supreme Court majority can chose to believe that corporations have the same rights of free speech as individuals – and enough money to reduce “Free Speech” to an oxymoron - money has become the master. Five American banks now hold – hold - more than $8.5 trillion in assets – 56% of America's $15 trillion economy.  
As the stock market becomes increasingly detached from the real economy, these mega-bankers practice zombie capitalism, trading their cash surpluses back and forth between themselves, hedging their equity by shifting the money from this pocket to that, paying themselves a bonus every time their computers shift the funds. At some point reality must intervene in this monetary computer game world, as J.P. Morgan discovered back in 2007. And when it does, the destructive effect is suffered by the nation as a whole. Sacrifice might be required, but only for those who cannot afford to live in the fantasy world of 21st century hedge fund managers.
"I will never live for the sake of another man."
Ayan Rand Atlas Shrugged
It brings to mind an observation once made by a very angry young man. He wrote, “There have been gambling manias before... (but) the ruling principle of the...the present mania, is... to speculate in speculation...” The angry man was Karl Marx, and he was writing about the swindle of the moment in September of 1856, the collapse of the Royal British Bank. 
It was a fabulous enterprise which seemed solid as granite at one moment and in the next a cruel fraud and a fantasy. And the most interesting thing about the case, besides the moral lessons the father of Communism saw in it, is that the bankers who perpetrated it actually went to jail, however briefly, without bringing down capitalism.
"Until and unless you discover that money is the root of all good, you ask for your own destruction."
Ayn Rand Atlas Shrugged. 
The Royal British Bank, created in 1849, was innovative. Previously, banking had been a rich man's game. Those with money had banded together to lend to those who could afford to borrow it - i.e. Royalty. But the fortunes created by the industrial revolution were not exclusively blue blooded, and both blue blood and non-blue blooded advanced thinkers in Scotland invented the publicly owned bank. They then convinced Parliament and the House of Lords to charter an institution which would allow small investors with a little extra cash to combine their money  And according to the new rules, once they had sold L50,000 in stock in the bank, they could open their doors and begin accepting accounts and lending money to make a profit. 
In this case the idea belonged to Londoner John Menzies (above), who suggested the idea to his lawyer, Edward Mullins. Together they printed up a prospectus (or Deed Of Constitution), and went looking for investors. But as England was in the middle of a recession (its fourth “Panic” since 1817) they found little money available for investment.
Until they approached shipbuilder John McGregor (above), who was also a Liberal Party politician representing Glasgow, Scotland. For the price of ten shares – at L10 per share –McGregor bought himself a seat on the board of the new bank. Cheap enough. 
He immediately suggested the board hire an old friend of his who had knowledge of the “Scottish style” of banking, fellow Minister to Parliament,  Hugh Innes Cameron (above).  A bank started by politicians, for the politicians. What could go wrong?
"If any civilization is to survive, it is the morality of altruism that men have to reject."
Ayn Rand Atlas Shrugged
Cameron was offered the position of Managing Director of the Royal British Bank. And with McGregor's help, Mr. Cameron obtained a seven year contract which would impress any modern equity or hedge fund manager. The first year Cameron would be paid L1250 (equivalent to $2 million today) , rising to L2,000 a year ($4.5 million today), with an annual housing allowance of L200 (about a hundred thousand modern dollars). Within a few months Cameron had squeezed out the man who first conceived of the idea for the bank, Mr. Menzies, buying him out  with L400 of investors' money. Now there was nobody looking over the shoulder of any of the bank's officers or investors. 
"If you ask me to name the proudest distinction of Americans...they were the people who created the phrase "to make money”.
Ayan Rand Atlas Shrugged
From that moment, the bank never stood a chance of surviving. Instead of the L50,000 the law required and which appeared on it's books, at its opening the Royal British Bank actually had no more than L18,000 in its vault. 
Over the next six years, while the 6,000 depositors supplied the salaries, advances and loans never repaid to the officers and directors of the bank, each of those men became involved in enumerable kickbacks, scams and frauds which removed even more of the  investor's  funds -  about L130,000, (or the equivalent of $247 million today). The whole thing collapsed in the summer of 1856, producing, yet another nation wide “Panic”, this one which taught so much to the Father of Communism..
"The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me."
Ayn Rand Atlas Shrugged. 
John McGregor escaped arrest by sailing to Boulogne, France. He died there, deeply in debt in April of 1857.  In February of 1859 the seven surviving board members were finally tried on seven counts of fraud. The jury convicted them of six. 
At sentencing the judge, Lord Cameron (above), could have been speaking directly modern Wall Street Crypto geniuses. “It would be a disgrace to the laws of any country” said th judge 150 years ago, “if this were not a crime to be punished. It is not a mere breach of contract with the shareholders and the customers of the bank., but it is a criminal conspiracy to do what must inevitably lead to a great public mischief, in the ruin of families and the reduction of widows and orphans from affluence to destitution; I regret to say that in mitigation of your offense it was said to be common practice. Unfortunately a laxity has been introduced into certain commercial dealings...and practises have been adopted without bringing in a consciousness of shame...”
"When I die, I hope to go to Heaven, whatever the Hell that is. And I want to be able to afford the price of admission."
Ayn Rand
Because it was his first conviction, Hugh Innes Cameron could only be sentenced to a year in jail. All the other board members received even lesser sentences, and one was only fined a single shilling. 
The scandal sold a few newspapers, and produced a marvelous pamphlet, “The Curious and Remarkable History of the Royal British Bank showing how We Got it Up and How it went down.” But judging by recent history, nobody learned anything from the affair, or any of the other enumerable “Panics”, recessions and depressions which have stricken capitalist economies once or twice every decade ever since. 
I think we learn nothing because greed makes you stupid, and the mega-bankers and their paid political apologists are purveyors of greed and thus are selling and buying stupidity . 
Which is why conservative politicians increasingly say really, really stupid things. We have seen this progression since biblical days. To acknowledge this reality and yet not deal with it is to acknowledge you are a zombie, addicted to greed, and without hope of ever seeing a better future. Just like Ayn Rand.
"You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality."
Ayn Rand

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